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Central banks’ decisions amid global uncertainty: Octa Broker’s view

by Elena

This week, four key central banks—the Bank of Japan (BoJ), U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), Swiss National Bank (SNB), and Bank of England (BoE)—will announce their interest rate decisions. These updates come amid rising global uncertainty driven by the conflict between Israel and Iran, which has pushed oil prices higher and raised inflation and recession concerns.

The BoJ, which has begun tightening after years of stimulus, will likely continue tapering bond purchases but may slow the pace. Inflation above target and rising food costs could push the BoJ to adopt a more hawkish tone.

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The Fed is expected to keep rates steady but may face pressure from mixed economic signals and geopolitical risks. Markets will closely watch the Fed’s outlook for hints of future rate hikes or cuts. A hawkish Fed could strengthen the dollar and pressure stocks.

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The SNB is almost certain to cut rates, likely by 25 basis points instead of the expected 50, due to ongoing inflation concerns linked to Middle East tensions.

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The BoE will probably keep rates unchanged amid uncertain inflation outlooks and recent trade developments. The upcoming UK inflation report is expected to have more market impact than the BoE’s decision.

Investors should watch these announcements closely, as they could lead to significant market moves amid geopolitical and economic uncertainties.

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