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RBNZ Cautious After Rate Cut, Signals Uncertainty on Future Path

Elena by Elena
29/05/2025
in News
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Acting Governor of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), Christian Hawkesby, addressed the media Wednesday following the central bank’s May monetary policy decision, offering insight into the reasoning behind a widely anticipated 25 basis point cut to the Official Cash Rate (OCR), bringing it down from 3.5% to 3.25%.

During the post-meeting press conference, Hawkesby delivered prepared remarks and responded to questions, emphasizing that while inflation is now within the central bank’s target range, the future path for interest rates remains uncertain.

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“We did form a consensus projection for the cash rate,” he said, “but there’s a high degree of uncertainty.” He added that the current level of interest rates is now within the so-called “neutral zone,” suggesting neither a stimulative nor restrictive bias for the economy.

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Importantly, Hawkesby underlined the committee’s message that monetary policy decisions are no longer on a predetermined path. “The key message is that we have come a long way,” he said. “We’re not pre-programmed on moves now.”

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While committee members broadly agreed on the projected trajectory for the cash rate, there was some divergence over the timing of future moves. Despite the rate cut and dovish tone, the RBNZ’s nuanced communication pointed to a more cautious, data-driven approach going forward.

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Elena

Elena, a seasoned foreign exchange trader with a proven track record in the dynamic world of currency markets, brings a wealth of expertise and professionalism to the financial realm. With an extensive background spanning over a decade, she has honed her skills in analyzing global economic trends and implementing strategic trading solutions. Known for her meticulous attention to detail and analytical prowess, Elena has navigated through volatile market conditions with finesse, consistently delivering impressive results for her clients. Her comprehensive understanding of macroeconomic indicators, coupled with a keen awareness of geopolitical events, allows her to make informed decisions that optimize trading portfolios. Elena's commitment to staying ahead of the curve is evident in her continuous pursuit of knowledge and mastery of cutting-edge trading technologies. Her disciplined approach to risk management ensures prudent investment strategies, instilling confidence in both colleagues and clients alike.

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