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EUR/USD Outlook: Downside Risk Diminishes Unless Key Resistance is Breached

by Elena

UOB Group FX strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann indicate that the Euro (EUR) may face reduced downside risk unless it breaches the 1.0870 level. A break above this resistance would suggest that the EUR/USD pair might avoid dropping further to the 1.0760 target.

24-Hour View

Previously, it was anticipated that the EUR could decline to 1.0790 before rebounding. However, the EUR fluctuated between 1.0801 and 1.0849, closing at 1.0825, a modest increase of 0.09%. Current momentum lacks direction, with no significant increase in either upward or downward pressure. For today, the EUR is expected to trade within a range of 1.0800 to 1.0850.

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1-3 Weeks View

The bearish sentiment towards the EUR, which began in mid-July, remains. The strategists’ recent analysis from July 30, when the EUR/USD was at 1.0820, highlighted a negative outlook with a focus on the 1.0760 level. While the EUR has yet to decline further, signs of weakening downward momentum suggest that the likelihood of reaching 1.0760 is decreasing. A breach of the 1.0870 level would indicate that the 1.0760 target might not be achievable in the near term.

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