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USD/CHF Edges Higher on Firm US Dollar

by Elena

The USD/CHF pair rebounded to 0.8955, breaking a two-day decline during the early European session on Monday, bolstered by a stronger US Dollar (USD). Market focus later in the day shifts to key economic indicators and a speech from Fed‘s Mary Daly.

The US Producer Price Index (PPI) for June exceeded expectations, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, up from 2.4% previously, with the core PPI rising to 3.0%, surpassing forecasts of 2.5%. This data supported the USD against the Swiss Franc (CHF).

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Conversely, the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index dropped to 66.0 in July, its lowest in seven months, missing expectations of a rise to 68.5. Despite this, expectations for US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts starting in September remain strong, with financial markets pricing in over a 90% probability of a rate cut.

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The attempted assassination of former US President Donald Trump over the weekend adds to market uncertainty, potentially increasing safe-haven flows benefiting the CHF. Trump was injured during a rally in Pennsylvania, which resulted in casualties and heightened geopolitical tensions.

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Investors will closely monitor upcoming Swiss Producer and Import Prices data, alongside US economic indicators and Fed commentary, for further insights into market direction and currency movements.

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