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USD/CHF faces potential downside risks as Fed dovish stance holds above 0.9100

Elena by Elena
05/02/2025
in FED
Is it CNY or RMB
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The USD/CHF pair remained steady on Friday, hovering near 0.9110 during the Asian trading hours after three consecutive days of losses. The U.S. Dollar (USD) extended its declines following weaker-than-expected U.S. Retail Sales data released on Thursday.

U.S. Retail Sales for December increased by 0.4% month-over-month, reaching $729.2 billion. This growth was below the market expectation of a 0.6% rise and lower than the previous month’s revised 0.8% increase.

The data fueled growing expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) could implement two interest rate cuts this year, driving U.S. Treasury yields lower. The 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes were trading at 4.23% and 4.60%, respectively, both on track for a weekly decline of over 3%.

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The USD/CHF pair faces further pressure as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against six major currencies, struggles for the fifth consecutive session, hovering near 109.00.

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In other developments, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee expressed confidence that the U.S. job market is stabilizing, suggesting that it is not deteriorating further, as reported by Reuters.

The Swiss Franc (CHF), typically a safe-haven currency, could face some headwinds as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East ease. Israel and Hamas have reportedly agreed to a deal to pause the conflict in Gaza after 15 months of fighting, with an agreement expected to take effect on Sunday, pending approval by the Israeli cabinet.

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Elena

Elena

Elena, a seasoned foreign exchange trader with a proven track record in the dynamic world of currency markets, brings a wealth of expertise and professionalism to the financial realm. With an extensive background spanning over a decade, she has honed her skills in analyzing global economic trends and implementing strategic trading solutions. Known for her meticulous attention to detail and analytical prowess, Elena has navigated through volatile market conditions with finesse, consistently delivering impressive results for her clients. Her comprehensive understanding of macroeconomic indicators, coupled with a keen awareness of geopolitical events, allows her to make informed decisions that optimize trading portfolios. Elena's commitment to staying ahead of the curve is evident in her continuous pursuit of knowledge and mastery of cutting-edge trading technologies. Her disciplined approach to risk management ensures prudent investment strategies, instilling confidence in both colleagues and clients alike.

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